Fantasy Cheat Sheet – Top 40 Small Forwards
Photo. Jonathan MannionThe small forward spot has plenty of stars, but not plenty of depth. For those of you who haven’t drafted yet, here are the Top 40 small forwards.
1. LeBron James – Are comments really needed here? The King is also the king of fantasy.
2. Rashard Lewis – There might be a small adjustment period and he’s dealing with some minor injuries at the moment, but a forward who hits threes like Rashard is very hard to find.
3. Paul Pierce - I’m not in the majority that thinks that Paul Pierce has become a health risk. Pierce has taken a beating the last two seasons, but with KG and Ray Allen in the fold, Pierce’s load should be eased. I’m betting on a huge year from Pierce.
4. Carmelo Anthony – ‘Melo is going to be in the top 2 or 3 in the League in points, shoots at a very high percentage, hits the boards, dishes a bit, and will probably continue to hit more threes. I’d probably go with Pierce ahead of ‘Melo just because he fills a few more categories, but it’s close.
5. Andre Iguodala – The second half of last season was Andre’s fantasy breakout. Andre has a real chance to average 20 points, 6 boards and 6 dimes, as well as hit some threes and collect 2 steals per game.
6. Josh Smith – The fantasy potential is absurd, though the consistency is a little bit of a question. Still, the Hawks are improved and Smith’s block numbers are crazy for a small forward.
7. Caron Butler – His fantasy season last year was absurd. He fills up so many categories. Injuries aside, we really don’t expect a dropoff.
8. Gerald Wallace – Wallace was probably underrated, but he does everything you want a small forward to do except hit threes. Top 3 steals guy. Injury prone.
9. Josh Howard – J-Ho seems to be always improving and is one of those guys who even on an off night will still show up on the stat sheet somewhere. He does it all and does it at high percentages.
10. Luol Deng – A straight category guy. Helps you big-time in scoring and field goal percentage (off the charts FG% for a small forward). He also boards for a small forward. If you get Deng, you’ll have to look elsewhere for threes.
11. Ron Artest – If he doesn’t end up suspended for multiple games, or he doesn’t decide to retire or ball overseas midseason, Ron Ron is always a nice source of points, steals, boards, and even threes. Unfortunately I’m not really kidding about the risk factors.
12. Mike Miller - Threes threes and more threes. As long as he’s healthy, he’s a fantasy weapon. He’s an injury risk, though.
13. Andrei Kirilenko – One of fantasy’s biggest question marks. Whether or not you draft him really depends on where you draft him. Would I take him in the first 3 rounds? No. After that, the risk starts becoming worth it. I still think best-case scenario is he gets traded.
14. Corey Maggette – Corey never really got it going last season and seemed to clash a little bit with the Clips’ offense. That being said, he should be healthy and there’s no Elton Brand in the mix. Could be a huge year for Corey.
15. Ricky Davis – Whether he’s a shooting guard or small forward, Ricky has real value. He’s also a trade candidate throughout the season. All Ricky needs is minutes and if he gets them, he’s scoring in bunches and at a high percentage.
16. Richard Jefferson - Richard Jefferson has somehow become underrated and is a really nice value candidate on draft day. Other than scoring, he isn’t going to overwhelm in any other category.
17. Stephen Jackson - Think what you want of him; if his mind is in the right place, he can score, hit threes, and is an above-average passer and rebounder.
18. Danny Granger – BIG red flag. CBS Sporsline’s online projections have him averaging over 2 blocks per game. It’s a mistake and if you look at their rankings, they are big-time skewed because of it. Nice player, but he doesn’t block shots like that.
19. Tayshaun Prince – Tayshaun is hot and cold. He’ll end the season with a nice scoring average and some boards, but he has potential for more threes and blocks than he actually gives you.
20. Josh Childress - Interesting player. The Hawks are going to find minutes for Childress either at the 2 or 3. Good things happen when Childress is in the game and he fills multiple categories. Again, a nice mid- to late-round value pick.
21. Rudy Gay – Rudy does a little bit of everything, but last year he was consistently inconsistent. Still, he’s a young player and should improve. For my money, he’s not my favorite option.
22. Kyle Korver – Only so many guys who can give you threes like he does.
23. Shane Battier – He hits threes and the Rockets are better with Shane on the court. Even with an improved roster, they’ll find 30 minutes of burn for him.
24. Peja Stojakovic – Very high risk and very high reward. It says here he’s healthy. If he plays 65-plus games, he’ll hit 150 threes.
25. Andres Nocioni – I’m a fan, but admittedly minutes are going to be a little harder to come by for Noce this season. Still, if you’ve seen him play, you know he’ll find ways to get his stats.
26. Marvin Williams – Real upside, both on the court and in fantasy. This should be the year where he has a little fantasy value, and next year could be the one where he has a whole lot of fantasy value.
27. Travis Outlaw - Travis Outlaw has a big season ahead of him. The Blazers want him to have fantasy value. They want him to put up stats. Give him a month and let’s see what he’s got.
28. Luke Walton – Luke had great first-half value last year. He’s not going to overwhelm you in any one category but he is going to add a nice little boost in multiple spots. A nice late-round pick.
29. Jason Kapono – Kapono is going to hit threes, and that’s enough to get him a little fantasy love in most leagues.
30. Ruben Patterson – He’s not anyone’s favorite ballplayer, but when given the minutes, Patterson has proven he can score, steal, and board.
31. Ryan Gomes – Watch carefully to see how things shake out in Minnesota. Gomes could be a legit double-double threat and has been before.
32. Quentin Richardson - Slim chance he’ll stay healthy, slim chance he’s actually in shape. If he is both healthy and in shape, he rebounds and hits threes, which is nice for a small forward.
33. Dorell Wright – Clearly a mainstay in Pat Riley’s doghouse, but the Heat don’t have an abundance of talent and Dorell is going to play. In fact, he may start. He’s worthy of a late-round flier. He’s athletic, has skill, and can block shots from the small forward spot.
34. Martell Webster – Looks like he might start, and although we think Outlaw has a little more value, Martell can shoot the rock. 12-15 points a game isn’t a crazy stretch.
35. Hedo Turkoglu - A forward who hits threes, Turk constantly disappoints on the fantasy front.
36. Wally Szczerbiak – If Durant’s the 2, then Wally’s the 3. He’ll score, hit some threes, and spend time on the injury list. If healthy, not an awful option for a bench spot.
37. Bobby Simmons – We saw him working out in Chicago this summer and he looks healthy to us. If he gets his starting spot back (big if with Yi and Charlie Bell around) and gets 30 minutes a night, he scores a bit, boards a bit, steals a bit, and hits some threes.
38. Matt Barnes – A waiver guy to watch. If there are injuries in G-State and Barnes gets 30-plus minutes, he’ll put up stats.
39. Tarence Kinsey - I just don’t think he’ll get the minutes to repeat last year’s late stat heroics.
40. Jeff Green – This is sort of a token spot because Austin loves him. Seriously though, Green can put up multiple categories this season if he gets the minutes, so watch his tick. He’s probably a waiver pick up or last-round pick.
Honorable Mention – Matt Carroll, Corey Brewer, Trevor Ariza, Gerald Green
























October 22nd, 2007 at 2:57 pm
Tom Toronto says:
Just as an addition for some, Stephen Jackson is eligible in 3 positions in some leagues. If you’re on Yahoo or NBA.com, they list him at the 2,3 and 4. Not a lot of guys have that kind of versatility. Then again, not a lot of guys have a tat of praying hands holding a gun either LOL!
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:09 pm
Jer Boi says:
i think rashards a bit overated
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:11 pm
Austin Burton says:
Thanks for showing Jeff Green some love, Doc. He’s gonna do a lot this year.
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:16 pm
The Fantasy Doctor says:
I hear you on Rashard and putting him in front of Pierce and Melo might be a little bit of a stretch. We’ll see.
October 22nd, 2007 at 5:58 pm
Teddy says:
Im sorry but there aint no way rashad is better than melo. He is good i aint hatin but he aint THAT good.
October 22nd, 2007 at 6:16 pm
Lucky Lester says:
Neither of them play a lick of defense, but fantasy-wise, I’d list them pretty damn close to each-other myself. Lewis will hit more threes, Melo will score more points. Neither like to pass much, but we’ll see… It’s closer than a lot of people think – that’s what I think.
I’m willing to bet that Marvin Williams out plays (fantasy wise) Battier, Nocioni, Granger, Childress, and possibly even Teyshawn Prince – but I see why you list him where he is, what has he done?
Nice work overall, Doc – Josh Smith, Gerald Wallace, Iggy, and Kirelenko could all find themselves in the Top 5 or 6 – (because they all do so much for fantasy owners) but I like Pierce to have better percentages, less turnovers, and more assists this season – I think it’s a good year for him.
October 23rd, 2007 at 3:38 am
vince says:
in fantasy rashard is a top 15 player. has been like that for 2 years now. melo? top 30. overall.
it’s fantasy, not reaslity, check yahoo if you dont believe me.
October 23rd, 2007 at 9:23 am
Fantasy Doctor says:
I do think it should be closer this year than it has before with Rashard and Melo. I’m a sucker for forwards who hit threes (and honestly you should be too). That being said, we really don’t know exactly how Lewis will adjust to the Magic. If it’s me, I go Rashard first, but I wouldn’t be upset with Melo on my squad.
October 23rd, 2007 at 4:09 pm
MJAX says:
I don’t care what kind of team you put together, how can Rashard be over Melo? EVER!?!? It’s a travesty to even suggest such a thing. I am hurt and saddened by this choice, unbelivable.
October 23rd, 2007 at 4:47 pm
Robert D. says:
Uh… Lamar Odom???????????
October 24th, 2007 at 10:03 am
Kevin S. says:
The best small forward in the game doesn’t even get to be listed in his position because of his versatility and the only reason he we be second to the 2 leaders is because Lebron and Melo run there teams at times. 1, 2 and 3 is Shawn Marion