Fantasy Doctor, NBA / Oct 15, 2009 / 5:00 pm

Top 10 Fantasy Power Forwards In 2009-10

Dirk Nowitzki

With point guards, shooting guards and small forwards taken care of, today we’re proceeding to the projected top 10 fantasy power forwards this season. A few of these players are eligible to play center as well, but the ones listed here are slated to start the season at power forward. As always, please feel free to share your thoughts below.

1. Dirk Nowitzki: Diggler is as steady and productive as big men come. Dallas has a stronger, deeper roster than they did last season, but it won’t affect Nowitzki’s sexy stats, which leave little to be desired. His scoring could dip a point or two, but his assists should climb a bit while his shooting percentages will remain intact. It would be great to see him make his way back into the 1+ steal, 1+ block club, but Dirk will leave his owners very happy (and, with his new headband, entertained) even if he doesn’t.

2. Amar’e Stoudemire: His eye injury was a bit disconcerting and though he now dons a pair of Bo Outlaw-esque goggles, STAT seems primed to take advantage of a faster pace and the extra room to operate now that Shaquille O’Neal is gone. He doesn’t appear to be in ideal form during the preseason so far, but it won’t take Stoudemire long to assert himself with more points, rebounds and blocks than last season. Don’t forget that he’s playing for a contract if he doesn’t exercise his player option, and Amar’e has shown a penchant for a certain degree of selfishness, which could bode well for his motivation and, consequently, his production.

3. Chris Bosh: When healthy, Bosh is a fantasy beast. However, he’s been dealing with hamstring and knee issues this preseason and the conspicuous apparatus on his right leg doesn’t exactly exude confidence. Throw into the pot recent trade rumors to Golden State and there are a handful of unknowns for Bosh entering this season. Regardless, he’s a lock for about 22 and 9 along with a block and solid shooting percentages. If you decide to draft him make sure you understand the risks.

4. Pau Gasol: Given the previous player’s health concerns it’s completely reasonable to place Gasol a spot higher than this. His numbers aren’t all that great, but he’s as efficient as they come. If Andrew Bynum stays healthy expect Gasol’s minutes to drop off a bit, but not enough to drastically affect his production. He’ll continue to shoot 50+ percent from the field, hit about 80 percent of his free throws, dish out a few assists and produce double-doubles on a frequent basis.

5. Tim Duncan: He started his offseason regimen a bit later than usual to give his sore knee extra time to rest and is now wearing a very noticeable brace on that left knee. With coach Gregg Popovich appearing ready to limit Duncan to 32 minutes a night and yanking him from his lineup with little notice to give his star sufficient rest, things look a little bleak for the Spurs’ big man. However, if you can stomach the missed games you’ll be handsomely rewarded by his productivity when he is on the court, as Duncan remains one of the elite big men in the game who gives you the stats you want from a power forward.

6. Kevin Garnett: The good news is that he’s finally back on the court and looking relatively fine. The bad news is that Doc Rivers will almost certainly limit KG’s minutes throughout the season, especially in the early going. So long as Garnett gets 30+ minutes a night, you can count on him for at least 15 and 8 along with 1+ steal and 1+ block and great shooting percentages. If you decide to draft him, be patient. If he remains healthy Garnett should see more minutes and will boost his production closer to 2007-08 levels during the latter half of the season, which would help any fantasy team’s championship run.

7. Troy Murphy: He had a career year last season and while Murphy will be hard-pressed to repeat or improve on it, it’s tough to deny him the recognition he deserves. His health is sometimes spotty, but with a potentially bigger post presence from Roy Hibbert, the Pacers’ power forward could see a few more open looks from behind the arc. If he stays healthy and at least maintains his three-point proficiency, shooting percentages, double-digit rebounding and low turnovers, Murphy could finish the season a couple spots higher on this list.

8. Elton Brand: It appears the 76ers’ well-paid big man is set to finally play his first full season for his new team. Brand has played very well during the preseason and seems set to remind us all of his value. He gives you all the numbers you’d want from a power forward and shoots decently from the charity stripe, too. It’s unclear how he’ll fare in a faster offense for 82 games, but Brand could fall a lot lower than he should in many drafts.

9. Josh Smith: After a disappointing 2008-09 campaign, Smith seems prepared to bounce back strong. He lost weight and worked on his ball-handling and mid-range jump shot during the summer, which makes it easy to be optimistic about his prospects this year. Expect improvements in his free-throw percentage, rebounding, steals, blocks and points this year.

10. Al Harrington: Besides missing 14 games, Harrington had a great season for the Knicks last year. What sets him apart is his ability to pour in threes (2.4 per game last season). He also bulked up a bit and trained diligently during the offseason. This might be because he’s playing for a new contract this year, but whatever helps him perform at his best should be fine with his fantasy owners.

On the cusp: David West, Carlos Boozer, LaMarcus Aldridge, Jeff Green, Antawn Jamison

What do you think?

Throughout the season, be sure to leave your questions, comments, concerns, trade offers, roster problems and more in the comments below.

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  • Ric_Hardwood

    What about Luis Scola? W/O Yao, Scola should average a double-double with a block and a steal and decent percentages, right?

  • Sanssasin

    Al Harrington #10!!?? Really!!??

    Don’t know ONE person who would take Harrington above Boozer, West, and Jamison (all All-Stars).

  • http://dimemag.com/category/fantasy-basketball/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Ric_Hardwood: He’ll be included in tomorrow’s fantasy center rankings.

  • http://dimemag.com/category/fantasy-basketball/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Sanssasin: Yeah, might be a bit bullish but he seems set for a big year and fits the bill perfectly for a team looking for threes from their frontcourt. I don’t blame anyone for picking Boozer or West instead, but Jamison’s recent shoulder injury is a concern.

  • http://www.in-n-outnba.blogspot.com Lucas

    This is certainly the hardest position to rank players. Dirk being the safest pick here, IMO Bosh and Amare have more upside. I’m a little surprised that Kevin Love was not on the cusp, but I understand that.

  • http://dimemag.com/category/fantasy-basketball/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Lucas: Love was on the cusp of on the cusp – I’m just a bit wary of how he’ll mesh with Jefferson, who grabs a good deal of rebounds himself.

  • Claw

    Al wouldn’t be in my top 20, and Brand would be taken later because he hasn’t played in 2 years and I don’t think will be back to 20-10 with 2 blocks, he’s getting old.

    I think KLove will look good this year, just might not get great block numbers but FG and FT% should be solid.

    Kick out Al and Elton and put in Boozer and Aldridge.

  • Ashlov

    Michael Beasley, sir. While they’re trying to play him at the 3, he can be dominant at the 4.

    B-Easy!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XSVFXBjgtA

  • Bballfan

    David Lee is going to be good with points and boards

  • http://www.swagbucks.com/refer/ProphetGK ProphetGK

    The last half of the list is pretty funny..

  • Rex Chapman

    Blake Griffin?

  • scotsman

    thats the most ridiculous list i have seen. Al harrington!?!?! Duncan and Garnett are getting old and are gonna see the first major decline in fantasy value this season. Elton Brand is a complete crap shoot. I wouldnt be suprised if players like lee, anthony randolph, aldridge, maybe even jeff green put up better numbers than garnett this year

  • JordaMnnnn!

    Aldridge should replace Smith or Harrington on the 10

  • scotsman

    just to clarify, im not saying garnett and duncan shouldnt be in the top 10 PF but i dont think they should rank where they do

  • that’s whats up

    love the picture of Dirk Fagowitzki

  • LAballer

    been with u on all of these till now though..

    al harrington is not above jamison..he does everything al does but better including the threes..come on..

  • http://dimemag.com/category/fantasy-basketball/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @LAballer: I appreciate the support, even if it was until now. Look at the past two seasons – Harrington’s at 2.4 and 2.2 threes per game, Jamison’s at 1.4 and 1.5 threes per game. Also, Jamison recently hurt his shoulder and is out for the rest of preseason, which is a bit worrisome.

  • fred a stair

    what the heck harrington @ !0 what r u smoking ahead of boozer blake jamison and millsap

  • JCARR

    DOC
    Conley or Lou Williams?
    Mike Miller or Azubuike?

  • JCARR

    Mike Miller or Harden for Azubuike?

  • http://dimemag.com/category/fantasy-basketball/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @JCARR: Lou. Miller for Azubuike.

  • http://www.bouncemag.com 40 cal bouncemag.com

    Are you the fantasy doctor or are you the fantasy dreamer, this is the worst fantasy list I have ever seen in my life, how do you put dirk at number 1? or do you want him to be number 1 and Pau Gasol down at 4, Elton Brand at number 8? He shouldn’t even be on the list, if anyone out there picks there fantasy team by this info you deserve to have your fantasy account banished forever!

  • Dean

    I sense Aldridge killing it this season along with the big guy from Sac town. <—-he went off last night. I know it’s pre-season but he will tear it up!

  • http://luckylester.com luckylester

    people love to kill fantasy advice… haha – keep doing your best FD!

  • http://www.utjazzblog.com Utah Jazz Blog

    Seriously? No Boozer in the top 10? I’m not a fan of the guy, but he will put up big numbers this season. It’s a contract year! Booz is already starting to tear it up in the last couple of preseason games.