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Fantasy Doctor, NBA / Oct 13, 2009 / 2:30 pm

Top 10 Fantasy Shooting Guards In 2009-10

Dwyane Wade (photo. Chad Griffith)

Dwyane Wade (photo. Chad Griffith)

Today we’re continuing our week-long look at the projected top 10 fantasy players for each position this season. We looked at the top 10 fantasy point guards yesterday and now we’re moving on to the top 10 fantasy shooting guards. Speak up if you agree or disagree with what you see and bear in mind that these lists are purely from a fantasy perspective.

1. Dwyane Wade: We all knew he was great, but last season Wade played completely out of his mind, improving on every single statistical category while staying healthy. It’s unlikely that he’ll be able to continue improving his stats so drastically, but he should be counted on for nothing less than jaw-dropping lines each night.

2. Kobe Bryant: Black Mamba’s minutes and points-per-game have been on a consistent decline for the past four seasons, but his terrific overall production has remained strong. With a stacked Lakers squad that is expected to be playing in June, expect Bryant’s minutes and points to continue on downward paths, though everything else should be relatively steady.

3. Brandon Roy: Last season Roy scored more while improving on all his shooting percentages, but his assists went down while his turnovers crept up. He’s dependable for steady all-around output every night he’s on the floor, but we’ll have to see if Roy can step it up some more, especially with Andre Miller on board in the backcourt.

4. Andre Iguodala: The 76ers are Iggy’s team now, and with a healthier roster it should be fun to see how he responds. He puts up good all-around numbers and has a shot at breaking the 20 ppg mark this season. Expect Iguodala to benefit from the presence of a healthy Elton Brand on the floor, which should open things up for the team. When all is said and done, this could be a breakout year for A.I. 2, who has a chance at finishing the season as a top 15 fantasy player.

5. Joe Johnson: His three-point prowess along with his solid points, rebounds and assists speak for themselves. The presence of Jamal Crawford on the roster does bring up some question marks for the Hawks’ backcourt, so he could see a cut in his minutes to keep him fresh for the playoffs. Nonetheless, expect reliable play from Johnson this season, who also happens to be playing for a new contract.

6. Kevin Martin: His health is an issue and the word on the street is that Martin’s looking to avoid so much contact on the court this year to keep himself healthy, but he’s still a scoring machine who pours in threes every night. With Francisco Garcia out at least four months with a forearm and wrist injury, the Kings will rely even more on Martin.

7. Jason Richardson: A faster pace is always good news for J-Rich, who should approach the 3.0 threes-per-game mark he hit in 2007-08 in Charlotte. If he can boost his assists and maintain his other stats, Richardson could creep up this list and finish a lot higher than most people expect this season.

8. Stephen Jackson: The drama between Jackson and the Warriors is unsettling and it’s unclear whether an unhappy Captain Jack will play well or not. Still, his ability to put up great all-around numbers is hard to ignore. He’s turnover-prone, shoots a low percentage from the field and with a healthier, deeper backcourt this season it appears that there’s a low ceiling for Jackson. Still, he has a knack for surprises, so don’t be too down on the disgruntled leader of this young Warriors squad.

9. Ray Allen: The arrival of Marquis Daniels helps the Celtics’ thin backcourt, but Allen, who says his ankles are feeling much better, should continue to see 34+ minutes this season. He should still be counted on for plenty of threes and decent overall production and shouldn’t be too affected by the return of Kevin Garnett.

10. O.J. Mayo: Mayo was fantastic in his rookie year and should build on those numbers this season. Allen Iverson‘s presence on the Grizzlies’ roster does spell some trouble, but expect solid lines from Mayo regardless, as he will remain the starter.

On the cusp: Manu Ginobili, Vince Carter, John Salmons, Jason Terry, Leandro Barbosa, Ben Gordon

What do you think?

Throughout the season, be sure to leave your questions, comments, concerns, trade offers, roster problems and more in the comments below.

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  • MB

    Wow, VC is crazy low. You really have Captain Jack over him? VC is going in round 2 of most drafts while everyone from 7-10 is going in rounds 4-6

  • flavur

    Vince carter should be on there in a system made for shooting threes getting steals and passing he will put up crazy fantasy number in assists, steals and threes

  • GayforRudy

    Fantasy Doc,

    Why is Dime all about roto stats? Nothing for the guys that play head-to-head with fantasy points as the scoring system? No way is Ray Allen even in the conversation of top ten anything this year.

  • Kobeef

    You put JET and John Salmons on the list and not JR Smith?

    The kid is possibly the most explosive scorer ouside of Kobe in the western conference and will finally get to be a starter. Look for a boom in 3’s and assists from JR.

  • http://dimemag.com/category/fantasy-basketball/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Kobeef: I had to cut my list somewhere and J.R. was where I decided to end it. He’s not a lock to be a starter though, which worries me somewhat (http://blogs.denverpost.com/nuggets/2009/09/28/j-r-smith-starting-not-so-fast/) but I agree that he’s in for a good year.

    @GayforRudy: I’m actually a head-to-head guy myself. Allen’s efficiency (as well as others’) is usually undervalued. Feel free to share your list.

    @MB, @flavur: VC could easily be put into the top 10, but Orlando’s depth this year makes it hard for me to believe he’ll be as productive before. I think he’ll defer to his teammates more often, but he’ll still be good for a boatload of threes. While Rashard Lewis is out though, yes, Carter should be pretty nice. You guys make valid points.

  • hb in az

    Doc,
    Have a keepers league and was deciding on my last keeper between either Kevin Martin or J Rich? Am prob going w/ J Rich due to the frailty of K Mart, what do u think?

  • http://dimemag.com/category/fantasy-basketball/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @hb in az: I agree.

  • http://www.swagbucks.com/refer/ProphetGK ProphetGK

    Captain Jack and Ray-Ray??? I dunno bout that…

  • abpin

    Hey Fantasy Doctor… My draft is comin up this Friday… Was wondering if you’d put up some kind of mock draft anytime before then. Head-to-head. That’d be good to see. Just a thought.

  • SagJism

    I gotta put Kobe in front, MVP, rings, GM backing as the one player you want. It’s either KB24 first or him and dwade tied for 1rst. (ok, I like the tie)

  • Ian

    manu isnt top ten for fantasy sgs?

  • JH

    Manu…injuries aside…The Argentine can produce despite a 6th man role & playing “limited” mins (same as J. Terry). I think either Manu or Terry will be more valuable than a low FG% shooting/TO prone Mayo. The rest sounds about right.

  • http://dimemag.com/category/fantasy-basketball/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @abpin: Sure – you mean mock draft results?

  • iLL Mago

    Um…Stephan Curry anyone?

  • http://twitter.com/anthonyeladjo abpin

    Yeah, mock draft results please

  • Claw

    Gotta get VC up higher and Ben Gordon in the Top 10, my top Ten:
    1. DWade
    2. Kobe
    3. BRoy
    4. AI
    5. JJ
    6. Vinsanity
    7. SJax
    8. KMart
    9. JRich
    10.Ben Gordon

    Curry has been alright in the preseason but up and down and not any defensive stats to speak of. Also being a little dude can he make a whole season and getting PT over Ellis and SJax, he’s good but I don’t see him being even top 20 good.

  • Chris

    I won my league’s last year with Ronnie Brewer as my SG… You can get him in the later rounds and he produces 14 points, 4 boards, 2.5 assists, and 2 steals a game.

  • gilford22

    J-Rich over Vince Carter and Michael Redd?

  • Hoss

    I give Eric Gordon the 10th spot over O.J. Have you seen him lately?

  • kowtz

    Ben gordon will be jacking up lots in Detroit…

  • futurestar

    where the hell is A.I !! common the guy is awesome.. just cause he had one bad season doesnt mean he isnt a good shooting guard.. just before the detroit season he was averaging abt 26 ppg along with 7 assits..

  • Ehis Murphy

    You guys just do not have any respect for Allen Iverson. AI averaged more points last season than 5 people on your list. He had a bad season last year and averaged over 17 points. Come on guys show some respect, this man can blow

  • chief youngblood

    Eric Gordon , he’s gonna get alot of shots

    o.j mayo will have to many hands in the pot , and i wouldn’t be surprised if captain jack pulled the disgruntled wide receiver act and just started slapping away passes.

    ray ray on the cusp .