Fantasy Doctor, NBA / Jan 6, 2010 / 11:00 am

Daily Fantasy Diagnosis: 1.6

Beast of the Night: Stephen Curry orchestrated a beautiful line to the tune of 26 points, 6 threes, 5 rebounds, 6 assists, 3 steals and 2 turnovers. He shot 77 percent (10-13) from the field, hitting all six of his three-point attempts. His minutes and production has been erratic lately but the rookie’s been producing impressive all-around numbers lately and is an outright thief, averaging 2.4 steals per game during the last month.

Noteworthy Lines:
Roy Hibbert – 10-19 FG (53%), 6-9 FT (67%), 26 Pts, 8 Reb, 3 Ast, 4 Blk, 2 TO; He made Superman look like Clark Kent, hitting jumper after jumper and getting the better of the matchup he was supposed to lose. Hibbert’s coming around lately and should be owned in all leagues.

Rashard Lewis – 2-8 FG (25%), 0-2 FT (0%), 4 Pts, 5 Reb, 1 Ast, 2 Stl, 3 Blk; Well, at least the steals and blocks were nice, and he didn’t turn the ball over… Lewis is clearly struggling this season, especially during the past week. Consider him a solid buy-low candidate.

Gerald Wallace – 10-16 FG (63%), 10-11 FT (91%), 2 3ptm, 32 Pts, 9 Reb, 2 Ast, 1 Stl, 2 Blk, 1 TO; He continues to produce like a champ and should finish the season as a top-15 fantasy player, barring any injuries.

Antawn Jamison – 13-20 FG (65%), 5-5 FT (100%), 1 3ptm, 32 Pts, 14 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 Stl, 3 TO; Many expect the Wizards to dismantle the team once Gilbert Arenas‘ situation is settled. Monitor this situation, since Jamison could easily end up with a contending team (like the Cavs), where he’d lose some of his fantasy appeal.

Samuel Dalembert – 8-13 FG (62%), 4-4 FT (100%), 20 Pts, 20 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 Stl; He’s been relatively quiet lately, so this was a bit out of nowhere. Dalembert continues to be a great source of blocks and some boards and anything he gets beyond that is gravy.

Charlie Villanueva – 6-12 FG (50%), 1-2 FT (50%), 4 3ptm, 17 Pts, 9 Reb, 2 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 Blk, 1 TO; While he’s capable of doing this more often, Villanueva is struggling in a near-healthy Pistons’ roster and his plantar fasciitis doesn’t help.

Kenyon Martin – 11-18 FG (61%), 5-5 FT (100%), 27 Pts, 13 Reb, 1 Stl, 3 TO; K-Mart’s on a hot streak lately, and the absence of Carmelo Anthony certainly helps. His owners would probably do well to sell high on him soon.

Tyreke Evans – 10-23 FG (44%), 7-7 FT (100%), 27 Pts, 11 Reb, 7 Ast, 2 Stl, 1 Blk, 2 TO; What more can you say about the kid? While he remains a sell-high candidate, it’s tough to blame owners who believe he can still be very productive even after Kevin Martin returns.

Lamar Odom – 7-10 FG (70%), 3-3 FT (100%), 17 Pts, 19 Reb, 9 Ast, 1 Blk, 1 TO; He clearly benefits from Pau Gasol‘s absence and should get plenty of minutes and put up nice lines until the Spaniard’s return, which doesn’t seem that far away. Sell high on him.

Waiver Wire Appeal:
Luther Head – 18 Pts, 2 Ast, 1 Stl; That’s his fifth consecutive double-digit scoring outing.

Matt Barnes – 13 Pts, 1 3ptm, 7 Reb, 1 Stl, 2 TO; He continues to produce well in his starting role.

Flip Murray – 25 Pts, 3 3ptm, 2 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 Stl, 2 TO; This happens once in a while for him, but Murray remains relevant only in deep leagues.

Carlos Delfino – 17 Pts, 5 Reb, 3 Ast, 3 Stl; He lost his starting job but made a strong case for getting it back.

Drew Gooden – 10 Pts, 18 Reb, 2 Stl, 1 Blk, 1 TO; Erick Dampier might be returning soon, which makes this line a bit less enticing.

Joey Graham – 20 Pts, 8 Reb, 1 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 Blk, 3 TO; He benefits from ‘Melo‘s absence.

Martell Webster – 21 Pts, 5 3ptm, 3 Reb, 1 Ast, 3 Stl; He’ll likely cool off soon, but should be considered in most leagues.

Jerryd Bayless – 13 Pts, 4 Reb, 5 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 TO; It’s tough to see him get consistent minutes once Steve Blake returns, but he should be a decent pickup for the rest of the week.

Omri Casspi – 24 Pts, 3 3ptm, 7 Reb, 1 Ast; He should be owned in all leagues at this point, but will lose value once Martin returns to the Kings.

Injuries:
Rajon Rondo (hamstring): should start tonight

Paul Pierce (knee): should return tonight

Eddie House (flu): probably out tonight

Jamario Moon (abdomen): out three weeks with a strain

Dampier (knee): was going to give it a try last night, should return soon

Pau Gasol (hamstring): will miss about 4-6 games

Jose Calderon (hip): should return tonight, will come off the pine

Hedo Turkoglu (illness): should return tonight

Deron Williams (wrist): game-time decision

Mike Miller (calf): could return tonight

Nene (ankle): day-to-day

Ty Lawson (ankle): day-to-day

Ronny Turiaf (ankle): day-to-day

For Tonight:
Arenas continues his farewell tour in Cleveland, smiles, gun gestures and all.

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  • tigerstyLe

    i benched Roy Hibbert against Dwight #$%^@!!

  • Michorizo

    Tyreke will be productive in any system…the guy is a PLAYA

  • http://www.petsocietyhelp.com Pet Society Help

    Good for the kid, so is he a pg or sg at golden state? With Ellis there seems like whomever the opposite guard is will get the short end of the stick. Think he would thrive in the triangle offense.

  • tigerstyLe

    Doc,
    i couldnt pull the trigger on the CP3+Noah for Nash+D.Lee+Hibbert, so im still in desperate need for steals and blocks. im low on 3s too, but made the move to get Gallo. you see any possible trade opportunities with my team? maybe to get Rajon?

    Steve Nash, Brandon Roy, John Salmons
    Thaddeus Young, Danilo Gallinari, Jeff Green
    Roy Hibbert, David Lee
    U.Kenyon Martin, Anderson Varejao, Tayshaun Prince
    B.Ramon Sessions Matt Barnes Leandro Barbosa Ryan Gomes

    and any 2nd half sleepers you see this year? last year i picked up Boris Diaw after your post, and i ran away with the crown. =)

  • tp land

    Doc, Yi for Rashard Lewis. What do you think ??

  • G

    Doc,

    Ive been holding onto T-Mac all year, am I just wasting a roster spot at this point?

    Same goes for Richard Jefferson. Hes dissapointed me all year aside from an occasional big night isnt bringing much to the table. Somone in my league just dropped John Salmons and I’m thinking of making the switch. What do you think?

    Last question, I’m intrigued by the idea of a healthy Mike Miller getting time in the Wizards line up. How do you feel about him?

  • jwest

    doc what do you think about my ersan ilyasova for kirk hinrich?

  • jwest

    doc i have omri casspi and i plan to sell high, who are the players i should target?

  • madbijou

    Hi Doc.
    Need your help. I’m in first in a deep league. I just got offered Arenas and Lewis for Chauncey Billups and Terrence Williams.

    Should I accept it?
    I think I can live with a suspension of 10-20 games. But if he’s suspended for the whole season, then I would feel really really bad.

    Thanks Doc

  • nckdmss

    The Fantasy Doctor,

    Ignoring fantasy team needs, who has the most value from here on out? Ranking them would be fantastic…

    Spencer Hawes
    Ersan Ilyasova
    Yi Jianlian
    Kirk Hinrich
    Mike Miller

    Thanks.

  • Sal

    Hi Doc,
    I received the following trade offer: Billups, Kidd, Blake Griffin, Gallinari for R. Westbrook, tyrus thomas, Yi Jianlian and Tony Parker. What do you think?

    This is my current roster
    E Gordon
    R Westbrook
    T Parker
    C Bosh
    C Maggette
    D Nowitzki
    A Bargnani
    T Thomas
    Y Jianlian
    K Love
    Rudy Gay
    C Landry

    Thanks Doc!

  • Antouan

    Hey Doc,

    Im sick of Thaddeus Young….Who do you recommend I pick up between Barnes, Head or Webster? Or should I just stick with Young?

    Thanks again

  • Ian

    tiggerstyle
    hibbert
    26 8 with 4 blocks
    you need to invite me to that league if those guys think you were getting the better end of the deal.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @tigerstyLe: You’d probably have to do a two-for-two for Rondo. Maybe you could try to package some combination of Roy, Green and Martin?

    I’ll try to post something about the second half of the season sometime this month. DeJuan Blair, Paul Millsap, Nick Young and Kirk Hinrich come to mind as sleepers for the second half.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @tp land: I think Yi will maintain most of his value, but Lewis will make a comeback soon enough. Pretty even deal.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @G: There’s still a decent chance that T-Mac will be dealt to a team where he’ll get enough minutes to be relevant. It’s not the worst idea to swap him out for a solid waiver wire player though.

    Jefferson will be better in the second half of the season, but I can’t fault a swap for Salmons at this point.

    I’m digging Mike Miller a lot right now. If the fire sale in Washington happens (which it should), Miller stands to benefit a ton.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @jwest: Great deal.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @jwest: Players like Channing Frye, Ray Allen, Rashard Lewis, LaMarcus Aldridge, Joakim Noah, Al Jefferson, Andrea Bargnani and O.J. Mayo.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @madbijou: With Billups involved, that’s too big of a risk to me.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @nckdmss: Miller, Yi, Hawes, Hinrich, Ilyasova. If Hinrich gets dealt to a team where he takes on a more prominent role, then he moves up to second or third on this short list.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Sal: I really like it for you, especially since you get some three-point help, which it seems like you need.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Antouan: Webster, Barnes and Head, in that order. Don’t feel guilty dropping Young.

  • nola

    i’m having a debate with a friend. who’s the better pure shooter: ben gordon or mike miller?

  • Ian

    nola im on the miller side

  • Ian

    doc
    what do you think about barbosa?

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @nola: Haha, this is outside of my typical range of discussion here, but I’d go with Gordon.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Ian: I like his chances for a second-half comeback this season.

  • 12thMan

    Doc,

    You think Jamison if he came to CLE would be better or worse for Lebron? I can see his scoring dropping down some, but I feel like he could be dropping 10 dimes a game…

    And I just picked up Mike Miller in a 12 man 19 roster spot league, lovin’ it

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @12thMan: LBJ won’t be too affected by Jamison’s possible arrival. As you said, his assists would probably see a slight uptick.

    Solid job on Miller.

  • Nick

    Is Artest worth trading either R. Jeff or John Salmons?

    I could use his steals, but also like Salmons’ upside and Jeff’s 3’s. Worth it?

    Also, C.J. Watson worth a pickup from waivers?

    Finally, Jason Terry is going to be the highest player bid on in my every other week free agency market. It’s competitive (one guy dumped a $24 dollar Shawn Marion for Allen Iverson), so bottom line is, who should I drop for Terry.

    Are Salmons ($10), Jefferson ($10), or Okur ($16) worth Terry’s time and value? I need steals, points, blocks, and 3P. Thanks for the help boss.

  • The hibachi

    Hey doc, thanks for the advice on yesterdays fantasy diagnosis. And I am planning on trading kg when he gets back. I’m going to target Gerald Wallace, horford, butler,and Murphy. Now that agent 0 has finally been suspended should I drop him for hinrich, bibby, or mike miller. I probably do need to drop him since I have kg and Kevin Martin rotting on my bench. What do you think I should do?

  • The hibachi

    Ok I also just got offered jameer Nelson for the hibachi. Is Nelson a better option than hinrich, bibby, or mike miller. I already own a magic,rashard Lewis. What do you propose I do? I really do like hinrich though?

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Nick: I’d rather have Salmons and RJ.

    Watson’s boat has sailed and he no longer has reliable value.

    Yes, JT is definitely worth an add. Feel free to swap out any of those guys for The Jet.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @The hibachi: Yes, I like Nelson better than those options. Miller is very enticing though, and though it’s speculative, he could end up having as much value as Nelson eventually. I’m shocked that someone would trade Nelson for Agent Zero, since that’s just about the amount of value he has right now.

  • Nick

    Doc,

    I hate to throw too many questions at you, you have really become my main source of fantasy advice, but I need you to help me answer a complicated question:

    I sit in second place of a 10 team league. I have 51 points (it’s 8 categories, 10 points assigned from each category, roto style, cumulative), and the leader has 51. I can gain several points in 3’s, avoid losing points in assists, and could gain some points in points if I make the right moves.

    I’ll start by showing you my roster:
    C’s: Okur, Haywood, Okafor
    F’s: Z. Randolph, Bosh, Scola, Aldridge, Jefferson, Salmons
    G’s: E. Gordon, D. Williams, C. Duhon, B. Davis

    Bench: Tayshaun Prince, Shane Battier, Ben Wallace, and whoever has the least amount of games out of the 12 up there listed.

    Prince, Haywood, Randolph, and Duhon are possible keepers in my keep league (salaries-$1, $5, $14, $3)

    I’m trying to work a deal to send Randolph and Wallace (or if I can get around it, Scola and Wallace) for Durant. That’s a no brainer

    Next, I’m trying to move Aldridge for Kaman (also a keeper, good trade bait if B. Griff is suddenly a monster.)

    My main problem is guard play suddenly. Injuries plague me, Salmons is the biggest underachiever in history, Duhon is inconsistent and lacking points, and it seems one of my big 3 is always injured. Anyone can go, really, but I was wondering what a deal for a good guard (assists, points, steals, 3’s–in a dream package) could look like. It would be nice to hold onto Deron, Bosh, and Davis, and if I get Durant, him, and if not, Randolph. Otherwise, how could I piece together a deal that’ll be best for me in the short-term and long-term.

    If you’ve read this, I give you major props. If you help me, again, thanks so much.

    Another thing to keep in mind: if a trade isn’t within a $20 gap ( could be a 20 dollar difference ), keepers have less value, so I could clarify if you have an offer but are unsure of the salaries.

    Again, thanks.
    Very sincerely,

    Nick

  • Duck

    Hey Doc,
    I got an offer of Billups for Camby, and an offer of Curry for Felton. Are any of those legit deals?

    Also, should I drop a player for Foye now that Arenas is out?

    I’ll be hitting you up with some trade ideas soon.
    Thanks.

  • BROY

    Hey Doc, Is it a good idea to trade Eric Gordon for Manu?

  • BROY

    Sorry Doc, but he wants Eric Gordon and Ariza for Baron Davis and Manu, what should I do?

  • BROY

    Should I just take Eric Gordon for Manu or take eric gordon and ariza for BDavis and Manu? By accepting one of this trade will I gain or lose something?

    My Team:
    billups
    G.wallace
    D.Rose
    P.Pierce
    M.Gasol
    K.Love
    D.Nowitzki
    L.Odom
    Ariza
    Gallinari
    T-Mac

    P.S. Sorry about so many comments

  • Duck

    Sorry for this second post Doc, (an edit button would help haha),

    But can you rank these players from best to worst?

    Marion/Young/Richardson/Allen

  • pol

    Arenas just got dropped to the waivers

    Think I should drop Courtney Lee, pick up Arenas, and ride it out in hopes of him playing again anytime soon?

  • Twiz

    doc, need some help here…

    what do you think of this trade:
    my team: Murphy, Brook Lopez, and brand

    for

    bargnani, derrick rose, and okafor

    i’m trying to gain an additional guard through this trade since i have too many PF (already got Jamison,love, and landry). my main concern is giving up lopez since he had been playing so well before yi jinlian and other nets came back and started stealing some of his production. what do u think?

  • Nick

    @pol

    To me, it looks like he’s out the year. That’s just to me. Stern has a stick up his ass. In a keeper league, get him and hold on–he should be back next year. SHOULD be back.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Nick: Salmons has become more consistent since heading to the bench in Chicago, which is a sign of hope for you.

    In terms of guards to target, I’d suggest Stephen Curry as a solid target who gives you all the stats you’re looking for.

    I’m not sure what a good package would be, but I would try my best to deal Okur, Prince, Duhon and B. Wallace. I’d also consider Battier, E. Gordon, Scola, Salmons and Aldridge in piecing together any deal for Curry.

    Not the most specific answer, I know, but I hope this is a start? Get back to me if you want more specifics.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Duck: If you’re getting Billups, I like that deal. If you’re getting Curry, I like that deal, too.

    Yes, Foye is worth a roster spot but it depends who you’d drop.

    Richardson (if you mean Jason), Allen, Marion, Young.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @BROY: I definitely prefer the two-for-two, since B-Diddy gives you the edge in that deal. Though I prefer Gordon by a hair, Ginobili’s not bad himself. Once you take him on, look to deal him in the near future.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @pol: I agree with @Nick. Arenas is almost definitely done for the season, if not longer. Unless there’s news saying otherwise, stay away from Arenas.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Twiz: That seems like a fairly decent deal, especially if you are clogged up at the PF spot and need a guard. However, you are giving up more value for less. You could probably do better.

  • Nick

    Doc,
    I’d love more specifics. Problem is whenever I think Salmons is on a role, he goes out and has a dog of a day.

    Problem is Steph Curry is on a team that loves (and specifically doesn’t wanna deal Steph Curry). I’m convinced Durant and Kaman will solidify my team, but another guard would certainly be nice. Who could I pick up, for Jefferson, Okur, or even Kaman?

    Thanks man.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Nick: If by Jefferson you mean Richard, you can probably try to package RJ/Okur for a player like Lou Williams, Eric Gordon or Caron Butler. You’d be buying relatively low on all of those guys. A two-for-two would be ideal, probably.