Fantasy Doctor, Featured Gallery, NBA / Oct 21, 2010 / 12:00 pm

Top 101 NBA Fantasy Basketball Players In 2010-11

Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant (Photo. Dorothy Hong)

For those of you that picked up Dime #59, you got the definitive Fantasy Basketball Preview. But after yesterday’s post on seven players I’m targeting this year, people were craving more and more knowledge. So, without further ado, here’s the projected Top 101 fantasy basketball players in 2010-11 (based on a nine-category, head-to-head perspective).

1. Kevin Durant: Among the many things he did differently from a certain NBA superstar-gone-South-Beach this offseason, KD managed to elevate his fantasy (and real-life) status rather than stifle it. He was essentially tied for Fantasy Player of the Year honors in 2009-10, and after putting up insane stats last season (48 percent from the field, 90 percent from the line, around 30/8/3 and a combo of 4.0 threes/steals/block per game) it’s easy to write the kid’s name in at No. 1 on your draft cheat sheets. Oh, and get this: Durant will be 22 years old when the season starts. Yeah, he still has some serious growing to do. Hide your kids, hide your wife.

2. LeBron James: Whatever James endured this summer is the equivalent of a few scuffs on his fantasy basketball sneakers. While he’s no longer a consensus No. 1 fantasy pick, he still has a fighting chance to steal that honor this season. How? By expending less energy on scoring and focusing more on the other things. While it’s tempting to assume that this makes him a near-lock to average a triple-double, it’ll be difficult for him to dish out that many more assists than he did last season since he won’t have the ball in his hands nearly as often as he did in Cleveland. Is 23/9/9 out of the question? Nope, but don’t bank on it. Regardless, this is Take-My-Talents James we’re talking about here, the baddest all-around fantasy player in the land, and he’s still only 25 years old. Be confident drafting him at No. 2 this fall – go ahead and speak in the third person while you do it.

3. Chris Paul: He has his health back (for now) and his talented backup has been shipped out of town in exchange for a skilled swingman, which gives him another weapon to pass to. Things are looking up for CP3 in New Orleans, no matter how much he actually wants to stay there. If you deem him worthy of the No. 2 overall spot on this list, it’s tough to blame you. After all, when healthy and firing on all pistons, Paul puts up gaudy numbers on a nightly basis. The main reason why it’s easier to leave him until No. 3 is his health, which is far less reliable than James’. If, however, you can stomach the injury risk and are drawn to building your fantasy team on the foundation of a monster point guard, pick him a spot earlier than this and don’t look back.

4. Dirk Nowitzki: He’s been as steady a fantasy basketball player as you can ask for, but that doesn’t mean it makes it any more appealing to take him here. Does Nowitzki belong at No. 4 overall? Absolutely. Does he hurt you anywhere? Nope – take a look at his stats from last season, or any of his last 10 seasons for that matter, and try to point out a glaring weakness. You’ll have an easier time finding Jennifer Aniston a husband. Diggler’s one of the most efficient fantasy players out there, but the funny thing is that his consistency almost lulls fantasy owners numb to his great value. He’s the wisest pick here, but if you just can’t stand the boredom that’s included in this package of fantasy goodness, feel free to take a risk on someone who offers more excitement. Just be prepared to slap yourself on the forehead for taking that risk this early in the draft if it doesn’t pan out.

5. Pau Gasol: He finally broke through the double-double barrier last season, and with Andrew Bynum apparently a lock to miss 20+ games every season for the rest of his life and Kobe losing the slightest step, the Spaniard should continue to run wild in L.A. He could be set to shoulder a bigger load on offense for the Lakers, too. Solid centers are hard to come by in fantasy basketball, and getting one this early is a huge blessing.

6. Deron Williams: He’s a walking, dribbling double-double. The only real concerns for Williams are his vulnerability to dings and dents, and the loss of his pick-and-roll buddy Carlos Boozer. It’ll be interesting to see how he meshes with Al Jefferson and commands the floor with Paul Millsap playing more minutes, but the Jazz are still his team and he should have no trouble leading it well.

7. Kobe Bryant: The day of Kobe’s decline is nearing, but don’t overreact. He’ll start the season off slowly, but it’s hard to think that the Black Mamba’s not feeling juiced up about defending his throne to the death from the threats posed by a galling trio joining forces in Miami, and Shaquille O’Neal in Celtic green. There were unmistakable signs of wear and tear last season, so it’s understandable if Bryant drops further than this in some drafts. It’s just hard to believe that he’ll average anything less than 26/5/5 once he’s back to nearly 100 percent again this season.

8. Danny Granger: I’m not looking at the screen as I type this. When healthy, Granger is an outright stud: he scores the ball well, hits boatloads of threes and gives you an enjoyable mix of steals and blocks. The major knocks on his fantasy value are his field-goal percentage (which is vulnerable to his trigger-happiness from beyond the arc) and his health. Granger has missed 35 games in his last two seasons and is a regular guest on injury reports. Still, with Troy Murphy out of Indiana and a capable point guard at the helm for the Pacers, there’s more than enough reason to be optimistic about his fantasy value this season. Let’s just hope his body has had enough time to rest after his summer playing in the World Championships.

9. Stephen Curry: If you didn’t pay attention you probably didn’t see that Curry finished as a top 12 fantasy player last season. Instead of hitting the dreaded rookie wall, he kicked things into an even higher gear as the year wore on, averaging about 22/6/8 along with 2.0 steals and 2.7 threes per game after the All-Star break, all while shooting 47 percent from the field and 90 percent from the line. With the likes of Anthony Morrow, C.J. Watson and Corey Maggette out of town, it’s clear that the keys to the offense in Oakland are all Curry’s. Yes, Nellie is out of town, but the Warriors should still be a productive team on the offensive side of the floor. And if he doesn’t make a sophomore leap and his stats remain stagnant? He’s still be worth a first-round pick.

10. Dwyane Wade: After producing two monster seasons with nauseating rosters, it’s logical to knock him down your draft lists a few spots now that he has a lot more help. The name of the game this season will be efficiency for Wade, who has James around to handle the ball more (fewer turnovers) and an overall team that will relieve tons of pressure from him (higher field-goal percentage, lower injury risk). It’s safe to say most of his numbers will be weighed down a bit this season, but he’ll still be an all-around asset to your fantasy squad. If you want to make the case that he goes higher than this, you won’t find much resistance here – No. 10 just seems more prudent.

11. Amar’e Stoudemire
12. David Lee
13. Gerald Wallace
14. Josh Smith
15. Dwight Howard
16. Brook Lopez
17. Steve Nash
18. Carmelo Anthony
19. Rajon Rondo
20. Jason Kidd
21. Al Jefferson
22. Al Horford
23. Chris Bosh
24. Brandon Roy
25. Chauncey Billups
26. Joe Johnson
27. Monta Ellis
28. Andre Iguodala
29. Tim Duncan
30. Nene Hilario
31. David West
32. Marc Gasol
33. Manu Ginobili
34. Danilo Gallinari
35. Andrea Bargnani
36. Tyreke Evans
37. Marcus Camby
38. Darren Collison
39. Paul Pierce
40. Jason Richardson
41. Zach Randolph
42. Rudy Gay
43. Stephen Jackson
44. Aaron Brooks
45. Kevin Martin
46. Troy Murphy
47. Raymond Felton
48. Russell Westbrook
49. Joakim Noah
50. Kevin Love
51. Mo Williams
52. Derrick Rose
53. Gilbert Arenas
54. Devin Harris
55. Antawn Jamison
56. Anthony Randolph
57. Jeff Green
58. Kevin Garnett
59. Andray Blatche
60. Blake Griffin
61. Baron Davis
62. Trevor Ariza
63. Hedo Turkoglu
64. O.J. Mayo
65. Eric Gordon
66. John Wall
67. Paul Millsap
68. Ray Allen
69. Chris Kaman
70. LaMarcus Aldridge
71. Lamar Odom
72. Andrei Kirilenko
73. Rashard Lewis
74. Carlos Boozer
75. Luol Deng
76. Jamal Crawford
77. Caron Butler
78. Andrew Bogut
79. Nicolas Batum
80. John Salmons
81. Luis Scola
82. Yao Ming
83. Beno Udrih
84. Brandon Jennings
85. J.J. Hickson
86. Andre Miller
87. Elton Brand
88. Roy Hibbert
89. Robin Lopez
90. Jrue Holiday
91. Vince Carter
92. Anthony Morrow
93. Samuel Dalembert
94. Terrence Williams
95. Jason Terry
96. Jameer Nelson
97. George Hill
98. Channing Frye
99. J.R. Smith
100. Mike Miller
101. DeMarcus Cousins

Throughout the season, be sure to leave your questions, comments, concerns, trade offers, roster problems and more in the comments below.

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  • Antouan

    Hey Doc – Drafter another team last night, wanted to get your input. H2H, 10 teams, 8-cat league

    pg- Conley
    sg- Roy
    sf- Durant
    pf- David West
    c- Horford
    g- Eric Gordon
    f- Scola
    util- Marc Gasol
    util- Salmons
    util- Hibbert
    b- Ibaka
    b- Klieza
    b- DJ Augustine

    Thanks again!

  • Antouan

    Also I like the list from top to bottom, but personally I like Landry better than Dalembert overall for fantasy value

  • ShaqFu

    Do you think Austin Daye will win the starting job in Det and if so, would you drop James Harden or Spencer Hawes for him?

  • k to the mart

    Hey Doc could u rate my team and let me know what I’m missing.
    Pg-deron williams, russell westbrook
    Sg-trevor ariza, ray felton
    Sf-rudy gay, danillo gallinari, jeff green
    Pf-pau gasol, tim duncan, kevin garnett, paul millsap
    C-andrew bogut, roy hibbert

    (I know I have a lot of bigs but I got them as insurance for bogut ortrade bait if bogut stays healthy)

  • Jay

    Sup Doc,

    I just wanted to take your advice on a trade that I’m working on right now…My current roster looks like this, CP3, Monte, Gallinari, Josh Smith, Noah, T.Williams, Ariza, Hibbert, Calderon, Brand, Oden, Conley, Diaw, and Dunleavy

    Trade: Monte Ellis and Elton Brand for Nene & Rudy Gay (I’d be getting Nene and Gay)

    What’s your opinion? Thanks!

  • JCarr

    Hey Doc… Drafted two days ago. 12 team H2H. 9 cat league. Let me know what you think… I obviously need help at the point. Any suggestions on who i should trade for someone like felton or westbrook. Jarret Jack and Shaun Livingston are available for an add/drop scenario but i am more willing to trade.

    Also how do you see beasley doing this year? And who would you HONESTLY rather have? Beasley or Blatche?

    PG Baron Davis (LAC – PG)
    SG Kobe Bryant (LAL – SG)
    G Joe Johnson (Atl – SG,SF)
    SF Stephen Jackson (Cha – SG,SF)
    PF Al Jefferson (Uta – PF,C)
    F Jeff Green (OKC – SF,PF)
    C JaVale McGee (Was – PF,C)
    C DeJuan Blair (SA – PF,C)
    SG Gilbert Arenas (Was – PG,SG)
    SG Vince Carter (Orl – SG,SF)
    PF Michael Beasley (Min – PF)
    SG Richard Hamilton(Det – SG,SF)
    C Tyson Chandler (Dal – C)

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Antouan: You’re solid with rebounds, blocks, FG% and maybe even FT%. While you’re not completely punting assists, you could be slightly weak there. Good squad and good bench.

  • JCarr

    Hey doc, here are the results of my second team. It was set to auto-pick (draft). Let me know what you think. Thanks.

    PG Raymond Felton (NY – PG,SG)
    SG Eric Gordon (LAC – SG)
    G Baron Davis (LAC – PG)
    SF Danilo Gallinari (NY – SF)
    PF David Lee (GS – PF,C)
    F Pau Gasol (LAL – PF,C)
    C Andrea Bargnani (Tor – PF,C)
    C Tiago Splitter (SA – SF,PF,C)
    Util Luol Deng (Chi – SF)
    Util Rodney Stuckey (Det – PG,SG)
    BN Evan Turner (Phi – SG,SF)
    BN D.J. Augustin (Cha – PG)
    BN Linas Kleiza

  • http://www.conradburry.com Conrad

    Before I got your take on TDouglas over Kleiza I pulled the trigger (moreso so I could have a viable backup G), but I can switch them back if you think Kleiza is closer to starting for me (over ARandolph, DCousins, Gooden, Beasley or Odom).

    Another question: Is DBlair, now that he’s a starter, worth an add by dropping my TDouglas, Javale, or Gooden?

    Thanks as always, good sir…

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @ShaqFu: Yeah, he probably will eventually. He and Monroe are spearheading the much-needed youth movement in Detroit. Maybe Hawes, but not Harden — yet.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @k to the mart: You either drafted the hell outta that league, or you’re in shallow league. Either way, solid team. I’d say, if anything, your FG% and FT% might be vulnerable. If you’re in a shallow league, it’s just a matter of who has more — not knowing how many teams you’re competing against, I’d say you have a well-rounded squad to be confident about.

  • k to the mart

    Its a 8 man h2h league so it is kinda shallow but honestly I think I only have to worry about one other team

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Jay: Pretty even deal. You’d definitely be going “bigger” with this deal. If you want to stack up on rebounds and blocks a little more, go for it. Assists would take a hit though. You’re getting better overall value, though Ellis is the best player in that deal. I see nothing wrong with it.

  • drew

    Hey Doc,

    I appreciate the list. I was wondering if you could look at my roster and tell me what you think. Also, I’ll list a few free agents, could you tell me if you would swap out any of my lowly draftees for any of the free agents?

    PG- Dwayne Wade, Raymond Felton
    SG- Trevor Ariza, Eric Gordon
    G- Rodney Stuckey, Evan Turner
    SF- Carmelo Anthony, Wesley Johnson
    F- Linas Kleiza, Jason Thompson
    C- Brook Lopez, Marc Gasol
    Util- Yao Ming, Roy Hibbert, Brendan Haywood
    Bench- Dejuan Blair, Austin Daye, Marco Belinelli

    I am mostly concerned with Wesley Johnson and Jason Thompson.

    Free agents left:

    Marvin Williams, Tyson Chandler, Jeff Teague, Marreese Speights, Jamario Moon, Derrick Favors, and Arron Afflalo.

    Im thinking of putting in Afflalo.

    Sorry for the long message, your help is very much appreciated.

    Drew

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @JCarr: Overall, not a bad team, though I don’t like your last three players — so yeah, I don’t think he’ll be all that valuable this season. I’d prefer Blatche, by a mile.

    If you want Felton, I’d try maybe Arenas or S-Jax straight up if you’re willing (though Jackson should get a healthy dose of assists this season). Otherwise, you might have to go for a two-for-two involving maybe Green and VC.

    For Westbrook, you’ll have to aim higher, of course. Assuming you want to keep Davis, you might have to package some combo of Jackson, Green, Arenas or Jefferson together. He might cost too much though.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @JCarr: Not bad for an auto-draft. I wouldn’t drop any of those guys, which is a good sign. Depending on how Splitter pans out, you might be struggling in blocks. You might also struggle with FG%. Assists are pretty set for your team though.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Conrad: If you need a guard, then no harm in keeping Douglas. I think he’ll have a tough time getting as many minutes as Kleiza. I’d rather have McGee over Blair, since Blair doesn’t block many shots. Gooden and Blair are about even, and I might consider swapping out Douglas for Blair.

  • VuDoo

    Russell Westbrook at 48… REALLY? he’s closer to 30 to me. 3rd round pick… come on now!

    ginobili and bargnani are too high, and tyreke evans at #36 after ginobili… REALLY?? tyreke is a 2nd rounder to early 3rd rounder, def within top 30, top 20 even

    and lastly i think blake griffin will be top 30 by years end easily, even top 20, but his placing is fine because he’s yet to play and be proven and has to stay healthy…

  • Nizzio

    How is Kevin Durant a lock for no.1? How are his stats better than LeBrons? KD will score more and have a better free throw percentage but that’s about it. How is averaging 30-8-3 with 1 steal and a swat per game better than 27-8-9 with 2 steals and 1 block while shooting a better percentage? I thought you knew better, doc.

  • VuDoo

    please explain the westbrook and tyreke slots doc, i question ur fantasy knowledge if you seriously don’t revise that list because it looks like u did a top 20 and took a ‘whoever is left i’ll jst shuffle around without too much thought’ approach

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @VuDoo: In leagues that count nine categories (as I noted at the outset), I fully stand behind my order. Here’s why:

    – Westbrook: low FG%, not many threes, tons of TOs
    – Evans: doesn’t hit enough threes, lots of TOs, average FT%, shift into a role that has less emphasis on handling/passing the ball, early bout of (minor) plantar fasciitis
    – Griffin: FT% that might be worse than Howard’s, injury risk due to his reckless style of play

    I understand that Westbrook and Evans will go in rounds 2-3, but they don’t deserve to. If they make big strides this season, I’ll be wrong — but I don’t think they can make strides of improvement as many are expecting.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @Nizzio: Last season, KD and LBJ were 1a and 1b. KD’s FT% is much better than LeBron’s, especially considering how many each shoot per game, so that’s nothing to scoff at.

    Also, it’s safe to say James’ overall value is almost guaranteed to either stay stagnant or take a slight step back. KD’s value, on the other hand, still have plenty of room to improve.

    I’m not saying LBJ shouldn’t go No. 1 — just that Durant is the wiser way to go with that pick.

  • VuDoo

    fair enough fantasy doctor. i think my value on westbrook/evans is based off the fact im in a points based head to head league

  • http://www.facebook.com/dworlds David Brandon

    Doc,

    “Hide your wife, hide your kids…” lol!! nice reference on the KD take about that video. yes, i saw it. hilarious.

    i gotta roster ima need you to check out too and give some thoughts on. i’ll get that on here soon. in the office right now.

  • drew

    any chance you could reply to my question? haha :(

  • http://www.sactownroyalty.com Willis

    Tyreke under Bargnani? lol what a joke

  • KB8toSG8

    Demarcus last?!?! Robin Lopez under Deng?!?!

  • tigerstyLe

    how much does this list change if it were roto?

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @drew: Sorry for the delay. Sadly, I had real-life matters to tend to outside of fantasy basketball.

    You have a nice balance of small- and big-ball stats, though how Yao fares and how Haywood splits minutes with Chandler could swing that unfavorably. While you might compete in threes, you won’t blow any of your opponents away in that column. I like your bench a lot.

    I think Haywood, Johnson and Thompson are probably the players I’d consider swapping out. I’d strongly consider swapping out Thompson for Teague, and maybe Johnson for Afflalo or Moon. If you want to wait and see with Johnson, I have no problem with that.

  • http://dimemag.com/author/the-fantasy-doctor/ The Fantasy Doctor

    @tigerstyLe: A bit here and there. Howard would be knocked down to the mid- to low-20s. Likewise, Rondo and Griffin might be knocked down a few spots, given their FT% weaknesses. Overall, players who have holes in their games would most likely take a step or two down, while players with all-around games would take a step up, but nothing as drastic as Howard.

  • WTF?

    Brandon Jennings listed at 84 — now that’s just funny, I don’t care where you’re from.

  • Nick

    I simply don’t see, even in 9 cat H-2-H (i do 8 cat, roto, salary) how J Rich justifies an early 4th round pick. Maybe it’s my unfamiliarity with those categories (FT% and TO are not a part of my league) or my unfamiliarity with H-2-H, but he seems vastly overrated.

  • Jay

    Hi Doc

    What do you think about this team? Playing in a 13 team 9 cat roto. All players selected were autopicks (first pick was at 12)

    PG – Andre Miller
    SG – Caron Butler
    G – Ben Gordon
    SF – Gerald Wallace
    PF – David Lee
    F – Nene
    C – Andrea Bargnani
    C – Andray Blatche
    UTIL – Antawn Jamison
    UTIL – Andrei Kirilenko
    B – Robin Lopez
    B – James Harden
    B – Arron Affalo

    Obviously short on PG’s, but I’m thinking of punting on AST. Ty Lawson, Roddy Beaubois and Jeff Teague are FA’s.