Look, I know my track record stinks, in fact most people are betting against me and making a fortune, but come on. The World Champion Celtics are only a 5.5 point favorite tonight against the Pacers. I know the C’s are playing a back to back. I know Jim O’Brien might have it out for his former squad. I know the game is on the road. But come on. If I gambled, which I of course don’t, I’d be all over the C’s tonight.
As many of you know, last year I was a complete disaster. But for every gambler, there is a new day and that day is today. I don’t love any of tonight’s game… with the possible exception of the over/under of the Celtics/Cavs game. 180? I like the over.
I did want to drop the Bodog preseason odds to take the NBA Championship. Things that jump out at me as intriguing long shot bets – The Mavericks at 25/1, the Cavs at 14/1, Clippers at 80/1, Spurs at 12/1 and the Raptors at 28/1. Even the Hornets at 10/1 is a nice bet. What do you guys like?
Odds to win 2009 NBA Championship (Max Bet on Bodog for this is $600): Read More »
You noticed the asterisks didn’t you? While we don’t necessarily agree with the headline above, that is the projected outcome for this June according to Vegas.com’s NBA Championship Futures. At a current 3/1 clip, the Lakers are favored to win over the Celtics (7/2), Hornets (6/1) and Pistons (7/1).
While the Top 3 make sense to us, are the Pistons really that close to another NBA title? Sure the addition of a new coach Michael Curry and the emergence of Rodney Stuckey must have them continuing to think playoffs, but rising above the Celtics and Cavs is a long shot in my mind. Read More »
USA Today has the Celtics at 9.5-point underdogs going into tonight’s game. Bodog.com has it at 9 points. That’s a whole lot of points for a Celtics squad that is up two games to none in the NBA Finals. That being said, I’m not sure I’d bet on this game. Don’t get me wrong, I certainly would not take the Lakers and I definitely think the C’s are extremely tempting, but the Lakers not only need to win this game, they need to make a statement. It’s tempting, though. Very, very, very tempting.
Would you bet it?
Look, I know my track record isn’t great. Okay, it flat out stinks. But come on … the spread tonight for the Celtics/Cavs game is 9.5 points? 10 in some places? That’s way too many. I know the Celtics are playing at home, and I think they will win, but I also think game one is a close contest.
So here’s the pick:
Cleveland (+9.5) over BOSTON.
P.S. – If you followed my success throughout the year, you’d now go and bet the house the other way.
Have you guys read the comments in this post?
There’s a dude who straight rips me apart. Sure, my gambling predictions haven’t been so strong, but every degenerate hits a rough patch. It’s all about staying strong and continuing to put bets out there. Anyway, for the D-bag who suggested that they fire me, these predictions are for you…
Jazz (-5) over the CLIPPERS – I really believe the Jazz are much better than a 5-point favorite over the Clippers. Even if it’s in LA.
CAVS (-3) over Washington – Looks like Caron will sit out another. Even if only some of the new-look Cavs play, LeBron is definitely suiting up and that’s good enough for more than a 3 point win over the Wizards in their home arena. Read More »
Second half NBA action starts tonight and so does my gambling turnaround. To be honest, my turnaround seemed to start Wednesday before the All-Star game when I had my first strong night going for 3 wins, 0 losses and a push.
Tonight is tough. There are a ton of games and not much that I like. Here we go though.
*UNDER of the Warriors vs. JAZZ (225) – The Warriors and Suns scored a combined 238 points in there last game and were on absolute fire. I don’t see the same tonight. I think this is a little high.
Hawks (+11) over the LAKERS – Here is the problem. I like this move IF Bibby plays tonight. It looks like he will, but it isn’t for sure yet. It isn’t that Bibby will make the difference tonight, but I just have to like the confidence that Atlanta is going to have with Bibby on the squad.
Home team in caps. *My favorite of the night.
I should have gone 2-1 last night if the OT hadn’t killed the over/under of the Heat vs. Nuggets. Here is what I like tonight… *LOVE the Spurs (-3) vs. CAVS – Big Z is banged up (although playing). Field day for Duncan.
Grizzlies (+9.5) vs. SIXERS – Can Memphis put together two solid games in a row? Is Philly really 9.5 points better than the Grizz?
UNDER of the Pacers vs. PISTONS (198) – The Pacers have no point guard and are coming off a toss loss. 198 is a lot of points for these two teams to score.
UNDER of the Suns vs. WARRIORS (238) – I know both these two teams light it up, but 238??? Gotta go under. HOME TEAM IN CAPS
*My Favorite of the night
Judging by the last two days, whatever I go with, you should go with the opposite. It has been a tough couple of days for the Non-Gambler but I think I bounce back tonight.
I like a couple of over/unders.
*UNDER of the Denver vs. HEAT game (210) UNDER of the Kings vs. GRIZZLIES game (211) I also like the Kings (-5) at the GRIZZLIES
Last night. 0-2. Tough night.
Here are the games I like tonight:
*Mavericks (-3.5) over the SIXERS – I know the Mavs just got blown out. I know they aren’t playing the best ball. I know the game is on the road. I’m still taking Dallas.
Portland (+8.5) over the ROCKETS – The Rockets are playing outstanding ball and the Blazers burned me a bit the other day. The key though? Brandon Roy is back and I don’t think the Blazers get the beat down with Roy in the lineup.
Home Team in Caps *Favorite of the night
Last Night: 0 for 3. All three were crazy close to the spreads.